滕岱君, 孙静, 房元圣, 庞明樊, 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 赵青, 张亦弛, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2023年12月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 凯发娱乐加盟代理, 2024, 39(1): 11-15. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202401190030
引用本文: 滕岱君, 孙静, 房元圣, 庞明樊, 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 赵青, 张亦弛, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2023年12月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 凯发娱乐加盟代理, 2024, 39(1): 11-15. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202401190030
Teng Daijun, Sun Jing, Fang Yuansheng, Pang Mingfan, Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Zhao Qing, Zhang Yichi, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in December 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2024, 39(1): 11-15. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202401190030
Citation: Teng Daijun, Sun Jing, Fang Yuansheng, Pang Mingfan, Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Zhao Qing, Zhang Yichi, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in December 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2024, 39(1): 11-15. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202401190030

2023年12月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in December 2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估2023年12月新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况以及对我国的输入风险。
    方法 根据世界卫生组织公开发布的每日 COVID-19 疫情数据,结合全球 COVID-19 入境政策分析,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、各大洲及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情分析,对全球 COVID-19 疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。
    结果 与2023年11月相比,全球月新增确诊病例上升了88.61%,月新增死亡病例上升了21.51%。 全球12月新增确诊病例前10位国家中,俄罗斯、新加坡、马来西亚、希腊、波兰、捷克和英国为全球重点关注国家;各大洲月新增确诊病例前3位国家中,加拿大为北美洲一般关注国家,毛里求斯和安哥拉为非洲一般关注国家,智利和秘鲁为南美洲一般关注国家。 俄罗斯和阿富汗是周边十四国特别关注国家。
    结论 全球每日新增确诊病例和新增死亡病例12月均呈上升趋势,多数国家疫情稳定。 对于重点国家要持续加强疫情监测,同相关机构建立沟通机制,互通有无,及时预警

     

    Abstract:
    Objective  To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in December 2023 and the risk of importation.
    Methods  According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by World Health Organization, combined with the travel restrictions published by Sherpa, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in each continent and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and travel requirements in 14 neighboring countries.
    Results  Compared with the previous month, the number of confirmed cases and deaths respectively increased by 88.61% and 21.51% globally in December 2023. Russia, Singapore, Malaysia, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, and United Kingdom are the countries of global concern. Close attention should be paid to Canada in North America, Mauritius and Angola in Africa, Chile and Peru in South America. Special concern should be paid to Russia and Afghanistan among the 14 land-boarding countries.
    Conclusion  The global daily new confirmed cases and deaths showed a upward trend in December, and the epidemic situation in most countries was stable. It is necessary to continuously monitor countries with global focus and establish a communication mechanism with relevant agencies to exchange information and provide timely warnings.

     

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